Land subsidence simulation in the east of Beijing plain based on the AM-LSTM Network

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Xinyu CAO,  
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Lin ZHU,  
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Huili GONG,  
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Lin GUO,  
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Yujiao WEI,  
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Tao GUO,  
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Beibei CHEN,  
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Haigang WANG,  
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Huijun LI

Resümee

The simulation and prediction model of land subsidence based on traditional numerical methods requires a large amount of hydrogeological and measured data, and predicting the deformation in areas with complex geological conditions is difficult. In this study, on the basis of land subsidence information obtained by permanent scatterers–interferometry synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) technology in the east of the Beijing plain and in consideration of the influence of groundwater level in different layers on subsidence, the long-term and short-term memory network (AM-LSTM) based on an attention mechanism is used to simulate the land subsidence at typical locations in different subsidence areas. Results show the following points. (1) The spatial difference of land subsidence in the study area is obvious. From October 2010 to August 2016, the maximum subsidence rate is about 153 mm/a, and the cumulative subsidence is 1063 mm. The area is located near Sanjianfang Township in Chaoyang District. (2) The simulation accuracy of the AM-LSTM model is better than that of the traditional LSTM model, and the accuracy of this simulation reaches 22%. (3) The attention weight of the AM-LSTM model indicates that the water level of the second confined aquifer contributes the most to land subsidence. These research findings can provide a reliable model for the prevention and control of land subsidence.

Schlüsselwort

remote sensing;land subsidence;AM-LSTM;simulation and prediction;groundwater level of different layers;attention weight

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