ZHANG Feng, WU Bing-fang, LUO Zhi-min. Winter Wheat Yield Predicting for America Using Remote Sensing Data[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2004, (6): 611-617. DOI: 10.11834/jrs.20040611.
Winter Wheat Yield Predicting for America Using Remote Sensing Data
In this paper we developed an approach using time series Normalize Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) derived from SPOT VGT for crop yield predicting in American during a five-year span (1998—2002). In order to remove cloud and extract the characteristics of the vegetation dynamics
the Harmonic Analysis of Time Series (HANTS) algorithm was used on the time series of NDVI image.To exploit effectively the time series of NDVI
linking them as much as possible to crop growing conditions
indicators which can be related closely to crop yield were extracted and used for building the predicting models. The weight average method was used to extract crop growth profile with land cover and SPOT Vegetation data. And then indicators were retrieved from the crop growth profiles
including ascend speed
maximum
descend speed
accumulative total before maximum and accumulative total after maximum. At the mean time
the time series of winter wheat yield are processed using a linear upward trend function in 1980 to 2002 to reduce the tendency of the yield. The weather yield is the difference of the actual yield and the trend yield. The weather yield will be predicted with remote sensing indicators. The weather yield and corresponding indicators are regressed. Only those indicators with high correlation coefficient are selected. The wheat yield are the summary of weather yield and the trend yield. The model was used to predict winter wheat yield in America. The difference is about -11.4% to 7.01% by comparing with USDA NASS data. And the relative coefficient between predicting yield and NASS yield is 0.89.
LI Zhenhai 山东科技大学 测绘与空间信息学院;北京市农林科学院信息技术研究中心 农业农村部农业遥感机理与定量遥感重点实验室
相关机构
College of Geodesy and Geomatics Information Technology, Shandong University of Science and Technology
Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing in Agriculture of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Information Technology Research Center, Beijing Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences
China Institute of Intelligent Information Processing and Systems, Central South University
Institute of Agricultural Information and Economics, Shandong Academy of Agricultural Sciences
State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Beijing Normal University