YANG Hua1, LI Xiao-wen 1, SHI Hong4, et al. Fly Dots" Spreading Model of SARS along Transportation[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2003, (4): 251-255. DOI: 10.11834/jrs.20030403.
SARS(Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome)broke out and spread in mainland of China
Hong Kong
Taiwan and other countries
regions successively. The world
especially China
pays high attentions on this public hygiene safety affair and takes various measures to prevent and control the further spreading of SARS.This work began in early April in this background.At this time
the SARS began to spread to Beijing and northern regions of China
but the situation in southern regions
such as Guangdong and Hong Kong is relative stable. The data about SARS spreading
special cases and sources in these regions are available.Through these information
we found the spreading characteristic of SARS has a distinct one besides other common ones
namely
jumped sperad between two points in long distance.This characteristic can not be singly described by the diffusion models for point sources. Pointed to this
a "fly dots"spreading model along transportation is put forward in this paper
which takes the vehicle as a scale and sets up SARS spreading model in the relative sealed vehicle. Based on this model
in a scale of the transportation
the spatial spreading of SARS due to flow of passengers is modeled. We simulatde the danger probability of SARS sperading
three cases reported in internet
and the affect of Beijing SARS epidemic situation to in Hebei province due to flow of passengers.The results show that this model meets the spacial spreading characteristic of SARS. Not only the vent
and disinfect and others measures affect SARS spreading in vehicle
but time is also an important factor to be considered. The SARS spread along transportation is affected by these regions’ population distribution
the SARS epidemic situation in the beginner affect the situation in the regions of the stops in a great degree. The results simulated by the models can be used to support the decision-making