ZENG Lan 1, ZHANG Yong2, ZHANG Xue3, et al. A Short-term Model of Grain Supply-Demand Balance Based on Remote Sensing for Crop Monitoring and Agriculture Statistical Data[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2004, (6): 645-654. DOI: 10.11834/jrs.20040615.
the technology of remote sensing for crop monitoring is already mature. It can provide an important data source
just as crop production
for monitoring the national grain supply and demand balance. Also
it can monitor crop growth in crop life. The data from the technology not only has spatiality and multi-type
but also is timelier than the agriculture statistical data
especially for monitoring the annual or seasonal grain supply and demand balance. Therefore
the technology should be integrated into the operational system of national grain management. In this paper
firstly
a short-term model for the national grain supply-demand balance
which can be applying to predict grain balance before the end of year
was brought forward. Then
applying the results of remote sensing and statistical data in the model constructed
the authors studied grain supply-demand balance in China at the turning point of the century. By comparing the two results derived from remote sensing monitoring and agriculture statistical data
the authors believed that the information of remote sensing monitoring could be applied to analyze grain supply-demand balance
while the reliability can be improved and periodicity can be shortened. Hence
the results of remote sensing monitoring should be taken as one of the most important data sources to monitor grain supply-demand balance by the departments of regulating and controlling grain. Moreover
by calculating and analyzing the results of China’s grain supply-demand balance during 1999—2002. It was Suggested that China’s grain at the turning point of the century was approximately balanceable. But because the grain stocks change of government and farmer household was very large at the end of the last century
moreover
with the descending farmer household’s grain stock in recent three years
it was formed that the surplus complexion of grain in market
which should be valued and taken some measures timely by the government during the process of adjusting the agricultural structure.